Search found 37 matches

by Max
Fri Jun 18, 2021 9:42 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Was Boris right?
Replies: 17
Views: 462

Re: Was Boris right?

To answer the original question on the terms stated, yes there is a (small) risk that if cases and new variants continue to increase, this _may_ eventually lead to increased hospitalisations and deaths. But it makes zero sense to use this as a reason to postpone lifting of restrictions to July. Why?...
by Max
Wed May 05, 2021 5:24 pm
Forum: Politics and Economics
Topic: fewer wars
Replies: 6
Views: 288

Re: fewer wars

No there isn't a relationship between war and disease (or other natural disasters) BUT there could well be a relationship with lockdowns and similar measures. The common factors are not effects on population numbers, but on politics and money. History is full of wars at regular intervals, during whi...
by Max
Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:18 am
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: so, is it ok now
Replies: 14
Views: 833

Re: so, is it ok now

"I wish that were true but as can be seen now and last year is a fixation on getting *cases* low not hospitalisation." I agree to some extent but think this may well go to the heart of the debate within government - between the 'zero coviders' who define 'safety' (and therefore the only condition un...
by Max
Thu Apr 15, 2021 2:55 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: so, is it ok now
Replies: 14
Views: 833

Re: so, is it ok now

Agrees with Splatt. It clearly can't come back as severely as the first or second wave as most of the dry timber will have either been treated with fire retardant (vaccine) or already burnt. However, the figure which will drive the government is not the IFR or the case rate for that matter, it is th...
by Max
Tue Apr 13, 2021 8:08 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: well is is lockdown OR vaccination?
Replies: 27
Views: 1374

Re: well is is lockdown OR vaccination?

To answer the question I would say "mainly neither". The main driver is seasonality, it's totally unclear what the reason for this is, but cases shoot up as the days shorten and collapse as they grow longer. This is borne out by those states in the USA (and elsewhere) who have eschewed lockdowns, al...
by Max
Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:24 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: End of Western Civilisation
Replies: 16
Views: 884

Re: End of Western Civilisation

This does bring the famous quote to mind: "Mr Gandhi, what do you think of Western Civilization?" - reply: "I think it would be a good idea" - pointing out the inherent contradictions that have always been present in 'Western Civilization'. However if we restrict its definition to mean a particular ...
by Max
Fri Mar 19, 2021 5:37 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: NHS guidance does not say most under 65s should have the jab
Replies: 33
Views: 1976

Re: NHS guidance does not say most under 65s should have the jab

Archie - I suspect it doesn't mention other age groups on the list *yet* is because they don't want to present a 'hostage to fortune' - other than a small clique residing on LS, there are large swathes of the public demanding to be vaccinated as soon as possible, and the NHS will want to avoid queue...
by Max
Fri Mar 19, 2021 12:59 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: NHS guidance does not say most under 65s should have the jab
Replies: 33
Views: 1976

Re: NHS guidance does not say most under 65s should have the jab

Everything the OP has posted is literally correct but IMHO is slightly mischievous because the headline is easily read as "NHS guidance says under 65's should not get the jab", because the position of the "not" is critical. It is absolutely true that the guidance says over 65's and vulnerable groups...
by Max
Sun Mar 14, 2021 8:54 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: No-jab no job contract legal advice (NHS)
Replies: 11
Views: 866

Re: No-jab no job contract legal advice (NHS)

I think a distinction needs to be drawn between people in existing roles and those newly applying for jobs here. If you are in an existing role and they add a requirement for you to have a jab then the addition could be subject to the test of reasonableness i.e. whether it was necessary for you to e...
by Max
Sun Mar 14, 2021 8:39 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Vaccines and vaccine passports
Replies: 157
Views: 9935

Re: Vaccines and vaccine passports

I'm with fon on this. There is no scientific reason why you need to be vaccinated if you have already had covid (no doubt there will be arguments about how long immunity lasts and relative levels of transmission reduction, but basically in both cases the result is similar, you end up with the same d...