Search found 26 matches

by NeilW
Fri Apr 30, 2021 8:23 am
Forum: Medicine
Topic: doing battle with anti-vaxxers all day,
Replies: 56
Views: 2491

Re: doing battle with anti-vaxxers all day,

Vaccinations save lives. More vaccinations save more lives and conversely fewer vaccinations save fewer lives. Only up to the point where the risk from the disease crosses over the risk from the vaccines. We have to acknowledge that these vaccines are very much 'first generation' and will get bette...
by NeilW
Thu Apr 29, 2021 4:44 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: doing battle with anti-vaxxers all day,
Replies: 56
Views: 2491

Re: doing battle with anti-vaxxers all day,

I am at no danger of Covid whatsoever, so why would l take such a risk, surely to coerce others into vaccine uptake is clear malfeasance on the part those endeavouring to coerce or mandate such a scenario. That's up to you. But in the spirit of 'free choice' it's also up to the rest of us if we per...
by NeilW
Tue Apr 13, 2021 2:34 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Why Is Boris Dragging His Feet Over Reopening Britain?
Replies: 12
Views: 689

Re: Why Is Boris Dragging His Feet Over Reopening Britain?

Splatt wrote: Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:03 am No agenda here. We're just being led by a spineless coward who has no beliefs of his own.
.
It's hardly surprising that a populist government just does what is popular.

Boris is a poll watcher. He does what the opinion polls say is this week's fad.
by NeilW
Tue Apr 13, 2021 2:31 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Why vaccinate people under 50 years of age?
Replies: 75
Views: 5070

Re: Why vaccinate people under 50 years of age?

What is wrong with this reasoning? It's what I call the "Halal meat" manouvre. Most people don't care whether meat is Halal or not, but some people *really* care. Therefore you get widest traction by pandering to the minority who will kick up an unholy fuss otherwise. Same with Kosher salt, wearing...
by NeilW
Sat Apr 10, 2021 7:51 am
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: (In)Effectiveness of NPIs in the US
Replies: 4
Views: 363

Re: (In)Effectiveness of NPIs in the US

Probably worth linking in the paper Carl Heneghan retweeted. Different SIR models developed by the same modeling team on the effectiveness of various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for COVID-19 were compared. The model proposing major benefits from lockdown in European countries had the wor...
by NeilW
Sat Sep 05, 2020 4:12 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: 1 in 17,357 chance of dying from covid-19
Replies: 14
Views: 1949

Re: 1 in 17,357 chance of dying from covid-19

The Florence Nightingale graph at CEBM says it all

https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19- ... or-deaths/

Death rates are back to normal for the time of year and have been for some time.
by NeilW
Thu Sep 03, 2020 5:41 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Vitamin D " significantly reduced the need for ICU treatment of patients "
Replies: 0
Views: 423

Vitamin D " significantly reduced the need for ICU treatment of patients "

From Effect of Calcifediol Treatment and best Available Therapy versus best Available Therapy on Intensive Care Unit Admission and Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19: A Pilot Randomized Clinical study https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960076020302764 The vitamin D e...
by NeilW
Fri Aug 28, 2020 6:23 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Why didn't the lockdown significantly reduce flu deaths?
Replies: 6
Views: 1035

Re: Why didn't the lockdown significantly reduce flu deaths?

CEBM has a recent post on this point. Rates of consultations for respiratory tract infections are significantly lower than they were a year ago. In the week ending the 9th of June 2019, LRTI consults were 6.64 per 10,000 and URTI rates were 14.18 per 10,000 (corresponding 2020 figures are 1.19 for L...
by NeilW
Fri Aug 28, 2020 6:16 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Proof Covid does not exist
Replies: 19
Views: 2322

Re: Proof Covid does not exist

Personally, it seems to me that if someone has no symptoms, they don't have a disease. That's why there are two names SARS-Cov-2 is the virus. Covid-19 is the disease it causes in some people. The nasty thing about this virus is that it can replicate itself and spread without causing disease in the...
by NeilW
Thu Aug 27, 2020 10:07 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Why didn't the lockdown significantly reduce flu deaths?
Replies: 6
Views: 1035

Re: Why didn't the lockdown significantly reduce flu deaths?

The Grubster wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:14 pm . This year, it was Covid's turn and it has perhaps brought forward the deaths of the dying a month or two.
It also ended the run of those who got a few months extra because the flu/cold season was so mild last winter.

That's the "dry tinder" theory.