Search found 1048 matches

by fon
Mon Apr 19, 2021 4:37 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: 1 in 13 bn risk once vaccinated. Boris hates those odds.
Replies: 5
Views: 159

Re: 1 in 13 bn risk once vaccinated. Boris hates those odds.

Something very wrong with the reasoning here.... Yes, it was That was nonsense. The chance of a fully vaccinated person catching covid19 is 5800 in 77m, or 1 in 13,275. And then having caught covid19, the chance of him dying is 74 in 5800, or 1 in 78. I screwed up, it's not 1 in 13bn, it is 78*1327...
by fon
Sun Apr 18, 2021 11:06 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: What size of bribe?
Replies: 0
Views: 61

What size of bribe?

What type of bribe would it take for the first minister of Wales ,Scotland, the north of Ireland and the Prime minister of the United kingdom, as well as all their various ministers and advisors in all capacities and for the equivalents in all G7+ nations to accept a dishonest/secret lockdown plot? ...
by fon
Sun Apr 18, 2021 8:09 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Before Mike Yeadon, we had Michael Levitt
Replies: 1
Views: 35

Before Mike Yeadon, we had Michael Levitt

Before Mike Yeadon, we had Michael Levitt Before Mike Yeadon, we had Michael Levitt https://www.stanforddaily.com/2020/08/02/qa-michael-levitt-on-why-there-shouldnt-be-a-lockdown-how-hes-been-tracking-coronavirus/: What do you wish that people had understood at the start of the coronavirus pandemic?...
by fon
Sun Apr 18, 2021 5:30 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Caldey Island open
Replies: 1
Views: 29

Caldey Island open

Caldey island . It's a great place but you have to take your own beer. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-56793677 The ride over can get a bit choppy. Now if we can only convince the atavistic anti-vaxxers to reject their favoured lockdown approach to the Pandemic, I think we'd be getting back to n...
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:59 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: AstraZeneca No Worse Than Other Vaccines for Blood Clots, Study Finds
Replies: 3
Views: 99

Re: AstraZeneca No Worse Than Other Vaccines for Blood Clots, Study Finds

TheEngineer wrote: Fri Apr 16, 2021 5:12 pm Vernon Coleman's boot
He's got a long rap sheet: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vernon_Coleman
Just saying..
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:48 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Booster shots
Replies: 13
Views: 261

Re: Booster shots

This has just been a way for pharmaceuticals companies to open up a huge adult market. e huge sums of money. Skip the vaccine or your life will be regulated until you die. That's one theory, but there is another theory. For example the AZ Oxford vaccine is sold at cost, no profit. I read some simpl...
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:32 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Booster shots
Replies: 13
Views: 261

Re: Booster shots

According to Mike Yeadon this is all a big con. The smallest variance so far has been 0.3% and the immune systems of those who had the original Sars, which was 80% the same (so 20% different), can recognise Sars-Cov 2. They are already planning the new vaccines. Well, I don't know Mike Yeadon, but ...
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:57 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: Bounding the PCR/ONS misattribution problems
Replies: 6
Views: 181

Re: Bounding the PCR/ONS misattribution problems

Problem with the ONS is they still rely on the Lighthouse labs for the analysis so any errors associated there will also be present in their survey. If they'd use a different lab and better methods (ie manual based, actual Cts known etc) to eliminate any possible issue then fine...But they didnt. A...
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:29 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: Bounding the PCR/ONS misattribution problems
Replies: 6
Views: 181

Re: Bounding the PCR/ONS misattribution problems

Applying 33% misattribution to ONS figures is nonsense, as this is a PCR test of a sample of the population. The False positive rate is vanishingly small, so can be neglected. Even the Guardian has admitted mass testing is lousy with false positives.PCR is even lousier than LFT. https://www.theguar...
by fon
Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:20 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: 1 in 13 bn risk once vaccinated. Boris hates those odds.
Replies: 5
Views: 159

1 in 13 bn risk once vaccinated. Boris hates those odds.

John Campbell's been looking at new data from the US cdc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dr7AO2NvalI which indicates they've had 5,800 cases up to now where fully vaccinated people have caught covid19 (beyond 14 days after the last dose), these are called breakthrough infections. This is 1 in 13275,...