Search found 41 matches

by amanuensis
Sun Jun 13, 2021 2:07 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: VAERS results
Replies: 21
Views: 439

Re: VAERS results

If you want to see an example of the unreliability of the side-effect reporting systems at identifying side-effects and other issues, look at the reporting in the Yellow-Card database of menstruation related side-effects -- up 50% (AZ) and 30% (Pfizer) in a single week (ie, comparing the 2nd June r...
by amanuensis
Sat Jun 12, 2021 12:19 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: VAERS results
Replies: 21
Views: 439

Re: VAERS results

If you want to see an example of the unreliability of the side-effect reporting systems at identifying side-effects and other issues, look at the reporting in the Yellow-Card database of menstruation related side-effects -- up 50% (AZ) and 30% (Pfizer) in a single week (ie, comparing the 2nd June r...
by amanuensis
Fri Jun 11, 2021 7:18 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: VAERS results
Replies: 21
Views: 439

Re: VAERS results

If you want to see an example of the unreliability of the side-effect reporting systems at identifying side-effects and other issues, look at the reporting in the Yellow-Card database of menstruation related side-effects -- up 50% (AZ) and 30% (Pfizer) in a single week (ie, comparing the 2nd June re...
by amanuensis
Fri Jun 11, 2021 7:14 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Yellow Card Reporting
Replies: 20
Views: 608

Re: Yellow Card Reporting

I note that the most recent Yellow-Card update shows an increase in menstruation related side-effects of 50% (AZ) and 30% (Pfizer) -- for a single week. It really is a rubbish system -- entries are far more closely correlated with the enthusiasm to report at the time, over the actual incidence rate ...
by amanuensis
Fri May 28, 2021 7:43 pm
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: And finally Cyril...
Replies: 5
Views: 203

Re: And finally Cyril...

Our behaviour appears remarkably consistent. Wave comes. Lockdown. Wave receeds. Stay in lockdown. Talk about easing lockdown. But stay in lockdown. Eventually ease lockdown. Just in time for then next wave to come. Back to lockdown. The cycle repeats. This then reinforces the idea that easing restr...
by amanuensis
Wed May 26, 2021 8:48 am
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Vaccines - The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly
Replies: 51
Views: 1567

Re: Vaccines - The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly

... 3) The Good. These are the traditional attenuated virus vaccines. Just like all the other ones you have received in the past. So very well understood and very safe. All the non Western vaccines are of this type. India, China etc. The only candidate so far for use in Western countries is the Fre...
by amanuensis
Tue May 25, 2021 3:14 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: Escape mutations
Replies: 23
Views: 744

Re: Escape mutations

My simplistic understanding of escape mutations is that if a vaccination (or the body’s immune system) kills only a certain percentage of the virus, say 90%, then the 10% that survive will naturally be those that are more resistant to the vaccine At a very basic level correct - thats how natural se...
by amanuensis
Tue May 25, 2021 2:07 pm
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: Is Boris right to defy SAGE?
Replies: 30
Views: 825

Re: Is Boris right to defy SAGE?

We [...] have vaccines that have only a limited impact on transmission (~50% for original variant) and viral load in the infected (1/4 for original variant). What research are you taking these figures from? What does "and viral load in the infected (1/4 for original variant)" mean? Re. 50% protecti...
by amanuensis
Mon May 24, 2021 7:19 pm
Forum: Medicine
Topic: The anti-vaxxers have failed! 70% of UK of adults have been vaccinated
Replies: 86
Views: 2630

Re: The anti-vaxxers have failed! 70% of UK of adults have been vaccinated

Given PHEs figures today its showing our choice of vaccine may well derail the entire vaccination project due to the awful efficacy of AZ v mRNAs 66% v 93% against symptomatic infection for B.117. 60% v 88% against symptomatic infection for 617.2 Qatar today has the efficacy of below 50% for B.1.35...
by amanuensis
Mon May 24, 2021 7:55 am
Forum: Statistics and Modelling
Topic: Is Boris right to defy SAGE?
Replies: 30
Views: 825

Re: Is Boris right to defy SAGE?

The reason we have vaccine escape is because we've given the virus extraordinary selective pressure to escape the vaccines through the use of inefficient vaccines and very large scale vaccination programmes. To surge vaccinate in outbreak areas will make this problem worse. It would be better to su...